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隧道与地下工程灾害防治  2023, Vol. 5 Issue (1): 32-44    DOI: 10.19952/j.cnki.2096-5052.2023.01.04
  研究论文 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
水工引水隧洞施工涌水量预测方法对比
周彩贵1,李景2*,梁庆国2,陈克霖2
(1.西北水利水电工程有限责任公司, 陕西 西安 710100;2.兰州交通大学土木工程学院, 甘肃 兰州 730070
Comparison of water inflow prediction methods of hydraulic diversion tunnels during construction
ZHOU Caigui1, LI Jing2*, LIANG Qingguo2, CHEN Kelin2
(1. Northwest Water Conservancy & Hydropower Engineering Co., Ltd., Xi'an 710100, Shaanxi, China;2. School of Civil Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070, Gansu, China
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摘要 针对隧洞施工过程中易发生的突涌水灾害,通过统计引水隧洞突涌水案例,分析隧洞突涌水的内在规律;分别采用长短期记忆神经网络LSTM(long short-term memory)、Elman神经网络和基于偏最小二乘法的多元线性回归等方法进行隧洞施工涌水量预测,并与隧洞施工实际的涌水量进行对比验证,得到预测隧洞涌水量最优方法。结果表明:突涌水事故更易在浅埋隧洞(道)、长隧道、特长隧道中发生,且易发生在断层、岩溶和可溶岩等地层。对比3种不同模型的预测结果与隧洞施工期的涌水量,LSTM模型预测涌水量精度更高。
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周彩贵
李景
梁庆国
陈克霖
关键词:  水工隧洞  涌水量  长短记忆神经网络  预测    
Abstract: Aiming at the water inrush disaster that was easy to occur during tunnel construction, the internal law of tunnel water inrush was analyzed through the statistics cases of tunnel water inrush. The water inflow in tunnels during construction was predicted by using the methods of long short-term memory neural network(LSTM), Elman neural network and multiple linear regression based on partial least square respectively, and compared with the actual water inflow, then the optimal method for predicting the tunnel water inflow was obtained. The results showed that water inrush accidents were more likely to occur in shallow-buried, long tunnels and extra-long tunnels, and in fault, karst and soluble rock strata. By comparing the prediction results of three different models with the water inflow during tunnel construction, the LSTM model had higher accuracy in predicting the water inflow in tunnels during construction.
Key words:  hydraulic tunnel    water inflow    LSTM    forecast
收稿日期:  2022-10-04      修回日期:  2023-01-13      发布日期:  2023-03-20     
中图分类号:  TV671  
基金资助: 青海省科技计划资助项目(2020-SF-138);中央引导地方科技发展基金资助项目(22ZY1QA005)
通讯作者:  李景(1990— ),女,黑龙江桦南人,博士,讲师,主要研究方向为岩土与地下工程.    E-mail:  ygmm1212@163.com
作者简介:  周彩贵(1974— ),男,甘肃永登人,硕士,正高级工程师,主要研究方向为水利水电、新能源工程的勘察与施工. E-mail:yongdeng@163.com
引用本文:    
周彩贵, 李景, 梁庆国, 陈克霖. 水工引水隧洞施工涌水量预测方法对比[J]. 隧道与地下工程灾害防治, 2023, 5(1): 32-44.
ZHOU Caigui, LI Jing, LIANG Qingguo, CHEN Kelin. Comparison of water inflow prediction methods of hydraulic diversion tunnels during construction. Hazard Control in Tunnelling and Underground Engineering, 2023, 5(1): 32-44.
链接本文:  
http://tunnel.sdujournals.com/CN/Y2023/V5/I1/32
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